Ice Out 2019 Prediction Time! Get Your Guess In Now – Final Date for Guessing is March 3rd

Please send all guesses to 

Want to guess the day and time the ice on the lake goes out? Now is your chance. The Ice Out Contest will be in last year’s format. The exact time and date of guesses won’t be published but just the “ranges” of the guesses. This will be closer to the model for the Ice Out Contest on the Tanana River, that flows through Fairbanks, Alaska. (The prize for guessing ice-out for that contest averages over $250,000 and we are sorry the prize for the Lake Wentworth Ice Out won’t be that large, not even close- think coffee mug or hat). The Tanana ice out is all blind guessing, you put your guess in an envelope (with money) and the envelopes are opened after the ice goes out.

The guesses will be recorded in two ways this year, one with the exact time and date and the other will be a general time frame. The time frames will be Early March, Mid March, Late March, Early April, Mid April and Late April. (The ice better be out by May!) The general time frames for the guesses will be reported on the website but not the exact times and dates. This will mean that people can just guess the date and time that they want and not worry about stepping on other people’s toes by guessing too close to someone else’s guess. The existing guesses will be updated regularly.

The contest is now open. All guesses should be submitted by email. Only one vote per person, please.

Send your guess in an email with “Ice Out Guess” as the subject line to 

Be sure that you include your name, the date, and the time (including AM or PM), that you predict that Ice Out will be declared. 

Dates of previous Ice Outs are given at the bottom of this article. Guessing will close on Sunday, March 3th at 11:59 PM. (There is little chance that the ice will be out by March 3rd.) If you win, you get bragging rights and maybe even a prize.

Ice Out is declared when “all the shores are free of ice” so that people could launch boats if they desired. This means that there are no “icebergs” floating around that would be dangerous for navigation. The winner is the person with the closest guess to the official Ice Out date and time. A committee of Association volunteers make the declaration. All committee members are certified by the International Commission for Exactness (ICE).

Current Guesses for 2019

Early March
Middle March Kate Ellis
Late March Jillian Heimiller
Patricia Coppins
Early April skiff
Fran Fedele
Middle April Tom Ouhrabka
Keith Scarlet
Daniel Ross
Karen Ouhrabka
Jean Erwin
Late April

Previous Ice Out Dates

2005     Apr. 17      5:30 PM

2006     Apr. 1        12:00 PM

2007     Apr. 23       6:00 AM

2008     Apr. 23       8:00 AM

2009     Apr. 12       6:00 AM

2010     Mar. 23      3:00 PM

2011     Apr. 20       2:30 PM

2012     Mar. 22      12:00 PM

2013     Apr. 14       3:15 PM

2014     Apr. 19       3:00 PM

2015     Apr. 20       7:45 PM

2016     Mar. 18      9:00 AM

2017     Apr. 16      7:00 PM

2018     Apr. 24      8:15 AM

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