Ice Out Contest Now Open – Guessing Will Close on March 7th

Want to guess the day and time the ice on the lake goes out? Now is your chance. The Ice Out Contest will be in last year’s format. The exact time and date of guesses won’t be published but just the “ranges” of the guesses. This will be close to the model for the Ice Out Contest on the Tanana River, that flows through Fairbanks, Alaska. (The prize for guessing ice-out for that contest averages over $250,000 and we are sorry the prize for the Lake Wentworth Ice Out won’t be that large.) The Tanana ice out is all blind guessing, you put your guess in an envelope (with money) and the envelopes are opened after the ice goes out. Guessing will close on March 7th.

The guesses will be recorded in two ways, one with the exact time and date and the other will be a general time frame.  The exact times of guesses will not be published until the end of the guessing period. The general time frames, that will be posted on the website, will be Early March, Mid March, Late March, Early April, Mid April and Late April. (The ice better be out by May!) Posting only the general time frames for the guesses means that people can just guess the date and time that they want and not worry about “stepping on other people’s toes by guessing too close to someone else’s guess. The existing guesses will be updated regularly.

The contest is now open. All guesses will be made by email. Send your guess as an email to: . Limit one guess per person

Make sure that you include: the date and time of day and whether it is AM or PM.

PLEASE also include “Ice Out Guess” in the subject line.

Dates of previous Ice Outs are given at the bottom of this article. Guessing will close on Sunday, March 7th at 11:59 PM. (There is little chance that the ice will be out by March 7th.) If you win, you get bragging rights and even a small prize.

Ice out is declared when “all the shores are free of ice” so that people could launch boats if they desired. This means that there are no “icebergs” floating around that would be dangerous for navigation. The winner is closest to the “judged” time. A committee (that varies) makes the decision. All committee members are certified by the International Commission for Exactness (ICE).


Early March
Middle March Brian Ellis
Late March
Early April
Middle April Bill Durfee
Tom Ouhrabka
E. James Smith
Dauson Bere
Joe Erwin
Jean Erwin
Julie Brown
Becky Arnold
Late April Katie and Riley Ellis


Previous Ice Out Dates

1972 May 2      1973   April 26     1974  April 14    1975 April 24    1976  April 8    1977  April 18

1978  April 28   1979  April 23    1980  April 10    1981  March 31  1982  April 24   1983  April 4

1984  April 16   1985  March 31   1986  April 5    1987  April 12    1988  April 17    1989  April 17

1990  April 10   1991  April 6     1992  April 9     1993  April 20     1994  April 22     1995  April 1

1996  April 12    1997  April 20   1998  April 7    1999 April 8       2000   April 5     2001   April 28

2002   April 4    2003  April 24    2004   April 17   2005   Apr 17   5:30 PM    2006   Apr. 1  12:00 PM

2007   Apr. 23    6:00 AM    2008   Apr. 23    8:00 AM    2009   Apr. 12    6:00 AM    2010  Mar. 23     3:00 PM
2011 Apr. 20       2:30 PM    2012   March 22 12:00 PM    2013 Apr. 14   3:15 PM   2014 Apr. 19    3:00 PM

2015 Apr. 20     7:45 PM   2016 March 18    9:00 AM  2017 Apr. 16      7:00 PM    2018 April 24   8:15 AM

2019   Apr. 20   7:45 PM     2020   Apr. 3  10:30


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